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The Sahel and the Challenges of Climate Change

The Sahel is one of the world’s most vulnerable regions in terms of effects of climate change. According to most IPCC scenarios, temperatures in the Sahel will rise by at least 2°C in the short term (2021-2040), a rate 1.5 times higher than the global average. The region is already facing multiple challenges. The members of the Sahel Alliance are supporting a number of initiatives in the Sahel to address the impacts of climate change.

Extreme weather events, such as droughts and heavy rains, could become more frequent and worsen in the Sahel region. According to scientists, increasing carbon emissions from fossil fuels are leading to longer and more intense rainy seasons, which can cause flooding.

These climatic phenomena are combined with other challenges: accelerating demographic growth, low economic productivity, lack of diversification of production, political conflicts and crises, inter-community tensions and the rise of violent extremism. These dynamics are a source of impoverishment for households, mainly farmers, leading to population displacements, the exodus of many young people and fights over the exploitation of land and natural resources.

The economic repercussions could be significant for the countries of the Sahel: loss of GDP, lower agricultural yields, reduced labour productivity, damaged infrastructure weakened by more frequent flooding.

The poorest and most vulnerable populations, such as women, young people, ethnic minorities, nomadic groups, displaced persons and people with reduced mobility, are particularly exposed to the impacts of climate change.

Renewable energies represent an opportunity to address these challenges. However, their development requires particular attention to technical maintenance issues, and the planned increase in installed capacity remains lower than the projected consumption growth.

In the southern Sahel, climate resilience is closely linked to maintaining vegetation cover. The growing competition for land between farmers and herders is likely to be intensified by the effects of climate change and demographic pressure, exacerbating conflicts in an already fragile region.

Sahelian communities are developing numerous initiatives to improve their resilience to the impacts of climate change. Some of these initiatives are supported by members of the Sahel Alliance.

Here are a few examples:

Tackling the challenges of food security in Chad

Combining adaptation and mitigation measures contributes to the resilience and sustainability of actions undertaken in all economic sectors to address the effects of climate change.

Nearly 30% of the Sahel Alliance’s projects are aligned with the Rio climate markers, covering climate change mitigation, adaptation, biodiversity and combating desertification. Funding mainly involves adaptation initiatives, primarily in the agricultural sector, as well as mitigation projects in the energy sector.

The agricultural sector accounts for 23% of the Sahel Alliance’s total portfolio, i.e. more than €6 billion out of a total of €26.4 billion. These funds are largely allocated to regional programmes, mainly in Niger, Burkina Faso and Mali. The Sahel Alliance’s contribution to adaptation to climate change amounts to €755 million, the majority of which has been allocated to regional initiatives and actions in Burkina Faso and Niger.


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